You don’t have to be a cranky old man like me to think that presidential campaigns start far too early these days.
The next election is still more than a year away, but the campaign already has been going on for months and months.
Some candidates, like Minnesota’s Tom Pawlenty, have already dropped out of the race. Former Massachusetts governor and Michigan native Mitt Romney said recently that he thinks it is too late for someone new to get in, and he is probably right.
It takes too much money to run a winning campaign today, and much to the cash available has already been sewn up.
Compare this to the way things were in nineteen sixty eight, when Robert Kennedy didn’t even get into the race until the middle of March and might well have been nominated, if he hadn’t been killed.
But if it is too late for someone new to start a campaign, it is also too early for anyone to have any idea who is going to win.